Fifteen years after the timing of the Union Budget
was advanced by six hours from 5 p.m. on the last working day of February, the
Centre is contemplating unveiling it
a month or more ahead. This may
appear to be a superfluous shift to some, but it could significantly alter governance outcomes if managed well. As of now, though the Budget is tabled before the commencement of a new financial year in April, its provisions often do not become the law of the land till some time in May, when Parliament passes the Finance Bill. So whether it is a new social sector scheme, a highway project for which the Finance Minister has allocated funds, or simply the transfer of funds to States, there is little action till, say, June. Official expenditure data confirm that spending remains particularly low in the first two months of the financial year. There is a spike (A sharp increase) in the last two quarters not just because ministries scramble to exhaust their allocated funds, but also because, for instance, the onset of the monsoon season in June makes it difficult to execute infrastructure projects in the second quarter. Effectively, proposed annual capital expenditure is rushed through from October to March rather than through the year, creating a tardy and bumpy transmission mechanism for any intended stimulus.
appear to be a superfluous shift to some, but it could significantly alter governance outcomes if managed well. As of now, though the Budget is tabled before the commencement of a new financial year in April, its provisions often do not become the law of the land till some time in May, when Parliament passes the Finance Bill. So whether it is a new social sector scheme, a highway project for which the Finance Minister has allocated funds, or simply the transfer of funds to States, there is little action till, say, June. Official expenditure data confirm that spending remains particularly low in the first two months of the financial year. There is a spike (A sharp increase) in the last two quarters not just because ministries scramble to exhaust their allocated funds, but also because, for instance, the onset of the monsoon season in June makes it difficult to execute infrastructure projects in the second quarter. Effectively, proposed annual capital expenditure is rushed through from October to March rather than through the year, creating a tardy and bumpy transmission mechanism for any intended stimulus.
This now assumes greater importance especially
since in the past two years public investment has been the government’s mantra to
revive growth, and is likely to remain the key determinant of the economy’s
direction for a while. Whether presented in the end of December or in January,
a budget endorsed by Parliament by the end of March could allow ministries,
State governments and businesses to get down to implementation as soon as the
year begins and plan their spending based on the requirement for a project
rather than weather exigencies.
There is, of course, the challenge that the government may lack enough data
about the state of the economy by January, be it tax collections or GDP
numbers. So the Chief Economic Adviser’s team will have to grapple with tighter deadlines to put together the Economic Survey
with less data at its disposal. Then again, the February 28 Budget also relies
on revised estimates. And while Finance Ministry mandarins (Bureaucrat ) may find themselves pressed for time if
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley manages to move to an earlier Budget in 2017, the
Goods and Services Tax rollout deadline of April 2017 would mean much less work
for them at least on the indirect taxes side of the Budget document. Around 51
per cent of the 738 promises in the UPA’s 10 full Budgets remained works in
progress (that is, unmet) by the time the next Budget was presented. If
switching the Budget presentation date can turn this around, it would be well
worth it.
ΓΌ contemplate -
to spend time considering a possible
future action, or to consider one particular thing for a long time in a serious
and quiet way
ΓΌ superfluous -more than is needed or wanted/ Unnecessary, especially through being more than enough
ΓΌ Scramble - Perform (an action) or achieve (a
result) hurriedly, clumsily, or with difficulty:
ΓΌ Tardy – Late
ΓΌ Bumpy – Not Smooth
ΓΌ
ΓΌ exigency - an
urgent need or demand that you must deal with
Syn-demand
ΓΌ Grapple – To try hard to find a solution
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